Deterministic compliance — all pass
| Page count | PASS | 22 pp (≤25) |
| Summary length | PASS | 427 words (band 340–560) |
| Summary numeric | PASS | 27 results |
| Anonymity | PASS | control number only |
| References | PASS | present, in-text cited |
| AI-Use report | PASS | present |
| Figures | PASS | 17 (target ~14) |
Headline results (real data, validated)
- Volume curve validated to 0.19% vs USBR Table 1
- Level 2050: 1052 ft (Model 1, R²=0.90, back-test 8.3 ft) vs 976 ft (Model 2, stress)
- 2050 shortfall 2.49 maf; recycling covers 100% to 2043, 83% by 2050
- Monte-Carlo mean 82% (p10 59%); full coverage needs recovery ≥0.72
17 figures · 8 tables · coupled pipeline: level → storage → budget → recycling.
Selected figures
